The New Hampshire effect in presidential nominations
2004 study in Political Research Quarterly on the impact of the New Hampshire primaries on overall election outcomes.
Politics & Government
Research roundups, tip sheets, articles and explainers related to the topic of politics, elections, and local and national governments
Expert Commentary
Resources, contests and the exit of candidates during the U.S. presidential primaries
2006 study in the British Journal of Political Science on the factors that most strongly predict the duration of presidential candidacies.
Expert Commentary
Dynamics of poll performance during the 2008 presidential nomination contest
2009 study in Public Opinion Quarterly on the failures of polls to predict the outcomes of the 2008 presidential primaries.
Expert Commentary
“Sour grapes” or rational voting? Decision making among thwarted primary voters in 2008
2010 study in Public Opinion Quarterly about how Clinton supporters ultimately voted in the general election in 2008.
Expert Commentary
Energy and economic value of plastics and municipal solid wastes
2011 study by Columbia University’s Earth Engineering Center on the energy contained in discarded plastics and its economic value.
Expert Commentary
How did the primary vote forecasts fare in 2008?
2009 study from DePaul University in Presidential Studies Quarterly on changing variables in forecasting U.S. presidential primaries.
Expert Commentary
The viability primary: Modeling candidate support before the primaries
2009 study in Political Research Quarterly examining the factors that shape voter preferences in the pre-primary period.
Expert Commentary
Momentum in the 2008 presidential contests
2009 study in Polity on how trends in the last presidential campaign conform to political science theory.
Expert Commentary
Comparing caucus and registered voter support for the 2008 presidential candidates in Iowa
2008 study in PS: Political Science & Politics on the demographics and voting behaviors of Iowa 2008 voters and caucus attendees.
Expert Commentary
Framing labels and immigration policy attitudes in the Iowa caucuses
2010 study in Political Behavior examines public opinion survey data on immigration rhetoric and policy preferences among Iowa caucus-goers.
Expert Commentary