Studies
Search Results
(show all 31)
Exit Polls: Better or Worse Since the 2000 Election?
2008 Harvard Shorenstein Center paper on the history of exit polls and emerging problems.
A Negativity Gap? Voter Gender, Attack Politics and Participation in American Elections
2010 study from Dartmouth College published in Politics & Genderon the different effects negative campaigns have on men and women.
Opinion Formation, Polarization and Presidential Reelection
2009 study from Duke and Wisconsin on the relationship between political polarization and presidential reelection.
Narrow Victories and Hard Games: Revisiting the Primary Divisiveness Hypothesis
2010 study from the University of Wisconsin on how hard-fought presidential primaries unfold and their implications for the general election.
Following the Rules? Candidate Strategy in Presidential Primaries
2009 paper in Presidential Election Studies on the allocation of campaign resources and correlations with available state delegates.
Situational Gamblers: Prospect Theory and the Commonalities of Presidential Campaign Management
2011 study from Columbia University on how a psychological theory can help better interpret presidential campaign decisions.
How Television Covers the Presidential Nomination Process
2011 study from George Mason University on television news coverage of presidential candidates during primary season.
Financing Presidential Nominations in the Post-Public Funding Era
2011 study from Colby College on history and trends relating to presidential campaign finance.
Pew Research: Twitter and the 2012 Campaign
2011 report from the Pew Research Center on social media dynamics around the 2012 presidential nominating contest.
Voter Participation in Presidential Primaries and Caucuses
2009 study from the Harvard Kennedy School surveying presidential nominating contests and historic voter participation patterns.
Research chat: Political scientist Michael Traugott on primary polls
Interview with University of Michigan political scientist Michael Traugott about elections, polling, and the media.
Polls or Pols? The Real Driving Force Behind Presidential Nominations
2003 paper for the Brookings Review about the importance of party insider endorsements during the presidential nominating contests.
The New Hampshire Effect in Presidential Nominations
2004 study in Political Research Quarterly on the impact of the New Hampshire primaries on overall election outcomes.
2006 study from the University of Arizona on the factors that most strongly predict the duration of presidential candidacies.
Dynamics of Poll Performance during the 2008 Presidential Nomination Contest
2009 study in Public Opinion Quarterly on the failures of polls to predict the outcomes of the 2008 presidential primaries.
“Sour Grapes” or Rational Voting? Voter Decision Making among Thwarted Primary Voters in 2008
2010 study in Public Opinion Quarterly about how Clinton supporters ultimately voted in the general election in 2008.
How Did the Primary Vote Forecasts Fare in 2008?
2009 study from DePaul University on changing variables in forecasting U.S. presidential primaries.
The Viability Primary: Modeling Candidate Support before the Primaries
2009 study in Political Research Quarterly examining the factors that shape voter preferences in the pre-primary period.
Iowa Caucuses: History and Popular Myths
2008 paper from the University of Missouri on the history of the Iowa Caucuses and popular misconceptions about them.
Momentum in the 2008 Presidential Contests
2009 study in Polity on how trends in the last presidential campaign conform to political science theory.
